Sunday, June 21, 2009

Week of 6-19-2009

Timing Model = 1.5
80% long, 20% cash

Global allocation of long positions
MSCI EAFE Index 30%
MCCI Emerging Markets Index 30%
Russell 3000 Index - U.S. 40%

Top U.S. Sectors
U.S. Semiconductor 3.5
Composite Internet 3.5
U.S. Biotechnology 4.0
U.S. Technology 2.5
U.S. Health Care 2.5
U.S. Oil Equipment, Services & Distribution 1.5
U.S. Leisure Goods 1.5

Top Intl. ETFs
MSCI Brazil Index Fund 2
MSCI All Country Asia ex Japan Index Fund 2
S&P Latin America 40 Index Fund 2
MSCI Austria Index Fund 2
MSCI Pacific ex-Japan Index Fund 2

Strategy 3
Emerging Markets 11%
Precious Metals 11%
Industrial Materials 11%
Energy 11%
EAFE 11%
U.S. Small Caps 11%
Agriculture 11%
International Real Estate 11%
U.S. Large Cap 11%

Strategy 4
Emerging Markets 25%
Precious Metals 25%
Industrial Materials 25%
Energy 25%

I apologize for not posting last week. I didn't have internet access and the only time I have to update this blog lately is on weekends.

Not much has changed timing-wise. Sentiment is slightly more bearish, but the price indices I track are still over their 75 and 200 day moving average. You'll also notice most asset classes I track are above their 200 day moving average.

The thing to watch over the coming weeks is the possibility of the broader market falling below their 75/200 day moving average.

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